The Loonie (USDCAD) is on a downtrend since 2009 and it does not seems to have any attempt to reverse this trend as of now.

USDCAD Weekly

Weekly Chart of USDCAD

As from the Weekly Chart above, the Loonie is making its way near to 2009 support and it is also near to multi-week support zone now. Since late Sep 2009 till now, the Loonie has been on a trading range, which could be a consolidation of the downtrend.

How to take this advantage?

4 Hourly Chart of USDCAD

4 Hourly Chart of USDCAD

On the 4 hourly chart, it seems that Loonie is forming a pennant-like chart pattern, which could hint a possible trend continuation.

This pattern will be valid as long as the top trendline of the pennant is not violated.

On the other hand, a bullish view on the Loonie could regard the pennant-like pattern to be a symmetrical triangle for a counter-trend move.

Therefore, it will be better to wait for a clear picture for Loonie to unfold before attempt for a trade.


Tagged with:
 

Potential USDJPY pennant in upward channel

Pennant in upward channel

Pennant in upward channel

Pattern requires break of short blue trendline to confirm.

Tagged with:
 

Breakout Knocking at GBPJPY?

Today, we shall excite ourselves by looking at one of the most volatile currency pairs, GBP/JPY, which has a daily average fluctuation of about 300 pips.

In addition, we shall see how 3 chart patterns that is very evident on GBP/JPY for trend reversal and trend continuation – namely, rising wedge pattern, pennant and  symmetrical triangle pattern.

GBPJPY Weekly Chart

GBPJPY Weekly Chart with Chart Patterns

As shown on the chart above, the Bearish Trend Reversal started with the rising wedge formation, which later evolves into the famous Head and Shoulder pattern hinting towards a big bearish reversal move underway.

Afterwhich, every subsequent retracement of the downtrend has either a rising wedge pattern or a bear pennant pattern.

Thus, it goes to show that there is a high reliability of trend continuation when either patterns had formed.

As we observed the recent months, that there is a big rising wedge formation which seems to be forming since 2009, and a symmetrical triangle forming shortly.

As price draws nearer to the apex of the symmetrical triangle, a breakout is inevitable. Yet, will it be a another trend continuation or a bullish reversal?

Should it break out of the pattern to the bullish side, then more bullish sentiment will be added to the equation as many traders will be eyeing for trading the breakout.

Likewise for the breakout to the bearish side, whereby more shorts will be added too.

Whichever the breakout is to be, it will likely to be a big move, so it is worth keeping tabs with this volatile pair in the coming future.

Pennant in CADJPY

The CADJPY displays a formation that looks remarkably like a pennant. This is because of the ‘flagpole’ which tells us the strong upward momentum in its previous rally. This flagpole and subsequent side-way movements suggests a continuation action after profit-takers have been cleared and strong bulls take command.

Possible pennant in CADJPY

Possible pennant in CADJPY

On the other hand, price remains resisted by an August 2009 level so upside is restricted until this level is breached successful.

Equidistant channel in 4 hour chart of CADJPY

Equidistant channel in 4 hour chart of CADJPY

In the 4-hour chart, an equidistant channel can be seen. The resistance of this channel is the resistance of this possible pennant formation.

Tagged with:
 

Upcoming Events